PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x3fd0…0022

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$23.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate82.5%57 settled · past 90 days13 open · 60% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded219Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+10.1% / $95% interval −2.4% to +22.6%72 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+1.2%n=61 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 82.5% · Decided 57 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$52.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.4K
Concentration
23.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$12.5KPnL+$773Avg91.8¢Current97.9¢12,783.4Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$9.2KPnL+$247Avg96.5¢Current99.2¢9,313.49Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$471Avg90¢Current95.8¢8,114.56Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$5.3KPnL+$55Avg98.6¢Current99.7¢5,268.93Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
NoValue$4.3KPnL+$161Avg96¢Current99.8¢4,283.6Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$151Avg95.8¢Current99.8¢3,830.82Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$47Avg98.2¢Current99.5¢3,781.98Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$912Avg21¢Current34.5¢6,752.87Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022: 82.5% win rate over 57 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +10.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −2.4%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+1.2% over 61 fills); −$23.6K lifetime P&L, $2.5M traded, updated 2026-09-27.