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Trader profile

melancolie

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$22.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.9%716 settled · past 180 days0 open · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,345Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.4% / $95% interval −128.3% to +133.2%23 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+2.4%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.9% · Decided 716 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Natus VincereValue$0PnL−$32Avg16¢Current0¢200Shares
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Nongshim Red Force · YesValue$0PnL−$45Avg9¢Current0¢500Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Gen.GValue$0PnL−$293Avg58.6¢Current0¢500Shares
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Group B
INFURITY Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$310Avg62¢Current0¢500Shares
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Team Vitality · YesValue$0PnL−$0.05Avg19¢Current0¢0.26Shares
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
FlyQuest · YesValue$0PnL−$90Avg12¢Current0¢753.6Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
EDward GamingValue$0PnL−$80Avg8¢Current0¢1,000.01Shares
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
Cloud9Value$0PnL−$20Avg6¢Current0¢331.89Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet melancolie: 47.9% win rate over 716 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +2.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −128.3%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+2.4% over 23 fills); +$22.1K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-26.