Trader profile

mmarbles

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-27

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate62.3%302 settled · past 180 days25 open · 98% underwater · 17 hours ago

Lifetime volume$8.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded362Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.3% · Decided 302 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded17 hours ago

Current position value: $378
Snapshot cash PnL: −$48.3K
Concentration: 51.9%
Positions: 125

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$196PnL−$44Avg15.1¢Current12.4¢1,589.68Shares

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$69PnL+$5Avg15.4¢Current16.5¢415.19Shares

Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$22PnL−$13Avg2.4¢Current1.5¢1,495.92Shares

Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$16PnL−$9Avg2.7¢Current1.8¢907.09Shares

Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$14PnL+$2Avg2.8¢Current3.4¢409.27Shares

Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$10PnL+$0.89Avg2.1¢Current2.3¢460.2Shares

Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$9PnL−$0.12Avg2.8¢Current2.8¢336.44Shares

Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?

YesValue$6PnL−$21Avg2.8¢Current0.7¢990.14Shares

Showing 8 of 125 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet mmarbles: 62.3% win rate over 302 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$4.5K lifetime P&L, $8.6M traded, updated 2026-09-27.