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Trader profile

us391

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$264.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.4%1,954 settled · past 90 days6 open · 98% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$35.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,669Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.2% / $95% interval −2.2% to +12.7%1,983 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.0%n=1,934 settled
Unmapped
−18.4%n=49 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.4% · Decided 1,954 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$13.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3M
Concentration
39.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,042
Showing the largest 8 of 1,042
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$5.3KPnL−$368Avg38¢Current35.5¢14,933.14Shares
NoValue$4.4KPnL−$58Avg62.3¢Current61.5¢7,205.39Shares
NoValue$2.1KPnL−$1Avg69.5¢Current69.5¢3,068Shares
Under · NoValue$1.1KPnL−$72Avg51.7¢Current48.5¢2,243.54Shares
NoValue$320PnL−$7Avg46.5¢Current45.5¢703.35Shares
NoValue$160PnL+$10Avg70¢Current74.5¢214.8Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$3.2KAvg48.6¢Current6,602.89Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg43¢Current2,507.45Shares
Showing 8 of 1,042 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet us391: 51.4% win rate over 1,954 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +5.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −2.2%, n=1,983 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.0% over 1,934 fills); +$264.4K lifetime P&L, $35.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.