PolyTrace
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Trader profile

RewardsMafia

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$83.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.5%151 settled · past 90 days15 open · 41% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded173Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.7% / $95% interval −278.9% to +255.5%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−11.4%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.5% · Decided 151 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$109.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.2K
Concentration
43.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$47.7KPnL+$4.6KAvg86.6¢Current96¢49,728.52Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$19.8KPnL+$1.9KAvg87.2¢Current96.3¢20,545.23Shares
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
NoValue$9.8KPnL−$1.4KAvg75.3¢Current65.9¢14,910.17Shares
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
NoValue$9.6KPnL−$327Avg84.2¢Current81.4¢11,784.08Shares
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
NoValue$7.3KPnL−$51Avg92¢Current91.4¢8,026.76Shares
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
NoValue$6.1KPnL+$495Avg84.5¢Current92¢6,634.43Shares
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
NoValue$3KPnL−$3.1KAvg51.7¢Current25.5¢11,641.2Shares
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
NoValue$2.9KPnL−$5Avg95¢Current94.9¢3,016.6Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RewardsMafia: 69.5% win rate over 151 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −278.9%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−11.4% over 10 fills); −$83.5K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.