PolyTrace
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Trader profile

hotcatcat

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$375Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%40 settled · past 180 days6 open · 1% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$225.7K485 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded73Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 40 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$4.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$67
Concentration
50.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$113Avg91.2¢Current96.3¢2,243Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$985PnL−$0.80Avg61.7¢Current61.7¢1,597.64Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$636PnL−$0.83Avg38.4¢Current38.4¢1,659Shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
NoValue$292PnL+$16Avg92¢Current97.3¢300Shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
NoValue$119PnL−$0.06Avg99.6¢Current99.6¢120Shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
NoValue$55PnL+$0.03Avg99.2¢Current99.3¢55Shares
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
YesValue$0PnL−$60Avg82.8¢Current0¢72.44Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.65Avg8.8¢Current0¢7.39Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hotcatcat: 50% win rate over 40 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$375 lifetime P&L, $225.7K traded, updated 2026-09-27.