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Trader profile

Fripon

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$273Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.5%80 settled · past 180 days11 open · 56% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded137Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.5% / $95% interval −61.0% to +42.0%29 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.5%n=29 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.5% · Decided 80 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$168
Concentration
39.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$585Avg50¢Current79.1¢2,015Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$1KPnL+$9Avg50.6¢Current51.1¢1,999.97Shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$602PnL−$22Avg22.3¢Current21.5¢2,800Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$421PnL−$584Avg50¢Current21¢2,010Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$344PnL+$2Avg57¢Current57.3¢600Shares
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
YesValue$12PnL−$9Avg3.9¢Current2.3¢545.46Shares
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
YesValue$7PnL−$114Avg35.6¢Current2.2¢340.58Shares
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$5PnL+$0.68Avg0.3¢Current0.4¢1,354.71Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Fripon: 57.5% win rate over 80 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −9.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −61.0%, n=29 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.5% over 29 fills); −$273 lifetime P&L, $3.3M traded, updated 2026-09-27.