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Trader profile

roldy

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$55.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48%1,047 settled · past 180 days22 open · 94% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$26.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded838Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.8% / $95% interval −13.0% to +7.4%362 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.0%n=361 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48% · Decided 1,047 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$18.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3M
Concentration
21.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,364
Showing the largest 8 of 1,364
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Vikings · YesValue$3.9KPnL−$110Avg54¢Current52.5¢7,388Shares
Seahawks · YesValue$2.7KPnL−$25Avg55¢Current54.5¢5,000Shares
Falcons · NoValue$2.5KPnL+$220Avg56¢Current61.5¢3,999.55Shares
Jaguars · YesValue$2.1KPnL−$20Avg54¢Current53.5¢3,999.98Shares
Panthers · YesValue$1.3KPnL+$13Avg52¢Current52.5¢2,517.96Shares
Golden KnightsValue$1.2KPnL+$139Avg53.1¢Current60¢2,030Shares
Blue JacketsValue$1.1KPnL+$100Avg54.2¢Current59.5¢1,909.99Shares
FlyersValue$1KPnL+$174Avg44.6¢Current53.5¢1,948.67Shares
Showing 8 of 1,364 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet roldy: 48% win rate over 1,047 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −2.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −13.0%, n=362 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.0% over 361 fills); −$55.5K lifetime P&L, $26.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.