PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x3d97…f263

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$66.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate30.8%26 settled · past 90 days0 open · 26 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M219 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded90Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+23.8% / $95% interval −16.5% to +64.2%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+23.8%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 30.8% · Decided 26 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$90.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Brescia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Mayar Sherif
Jennifer Ruggeri · YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg15.6¢Current0¢14,948.08Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$505Avg32.7¢Current0¢1,542.93Shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners · NoValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg37.5¢Current0¢11,070.27Shares
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5
YesValue$0PnL−$87Avg1¢Current0¢8,780Shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$0PnL−$3KAvg18.1¢Current0¢16,450.42Shares
Piracicaba: Lucas Da Silva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Lucas Da Silva · YesValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg20.6¢Current0¢8,866.18Shares
Fight to Go the Distance?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg73.7¢Current0¢3,079.16Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$75Avg6.9¢Current0¢1,084.36Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 24.8¢
unavailable
$7.3K
BUYYES
Unknown · 50.4¢
unavailable
$5.1K
BUYYES
Unknown · 50.7¢
unavailable
$5K
BUYYES
Unknown · 35.8¢
unavailable
$5K
BUYYES
Unknown · 35.4¢
unavailable
$2K

About this wallet

Wallet 0x3d979f2a0e03167d27c09f5b7d3c599328baf263: 30.8% win rate over 26 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +23.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −16.5%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+23.8% over 19 fills); −$66.9K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-27.