PolyTrace
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Trader profile

poposub

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate36.7%8,949 settled · past 90 days59 open · 87% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,954Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.8% / $95% interval −249.1% to +274.6%78 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+20.1%n=46 settled
Finance
+3.4%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 36.7% · Decided 8,949 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded20 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$219
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$58.7K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
34.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
NoValue$76PnL+$2Avg97.8¢Current100¢75.99Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
NoValue$72PnL+$7Avg90¢Current99.9¢71.78Shares
Will England win on 2026-09-26?
NoValue$38PnL+$28Avg26.3¢Current100¢38.11Shares
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-26?
NoValue$27PnL+$16Avg40.3¢Current100¢26.52Shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$0.21PnL−$12Avg2.9¢Current0.1¢417.99Shares
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$0.21PnL−$12Avg2.9¢Current0.1¢417.99Shares
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$0.21PnL−$12Avg2.9¢Current0.1¢417.99Shares
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$0.21PnL−$12Avg2.9¢Current0.1¢417.99Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet poposub: 36.7% win rate over 8,949 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +12.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −249.1%, n=78 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+20.1% over 46 fills); +$9.1K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-26.