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Trader profile

HerbertAppreciator

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$6.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…3 open · 0% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5M419 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded121Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.0% / $95% interval −82.2% to +54.1%88 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.0%n=88 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$172.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$18K
Concentration
69.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
85
Showing the largest 8 of 85
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$119.8KPnL+$89.1KAvg4¢Current15.7¢765,435.82Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$48.8KPnL+$39KAvg2.3¢Current11.5¢426,163.31Shares
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$4KPnL+$2.2KAvg1.3¢Current2.9¢136,579.89Shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$990Avg9¢Current0¢11,000Shares
National Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic
Alexandra Eala · YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢20,293.05Shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg8¢Current0¢13,678.96Shares
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
YesValue$0PnL−$327Avg39.3¢Current0¢833.77Shares
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg10¢Current0¢10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 85 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HerbertAppreciator: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −14.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −82.2%, n=88 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.0% over 88 fills); −$6.9K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.