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Trader profile

0x3ca2…073b

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$63.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 15 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M258 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded90Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −65.0% to +32.9%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.1%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$74.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg54.6¢Current0¢8,993.17Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$5.8KAvg52.3¢Current0¢11,121.88Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg15¢Current0¢9,266.67Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg30¢Current0¢1,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$3.8KAvg74¢Current0¢5,179.96Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$600Avg15¢Current0¢4,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg8¢Current0¢20,375Shares
Germany · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg1¢Current0¢300Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x3ca270bff70dff34a6ed04cacb75d1e70d66073b: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −65.0%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.1% over 19 fills); −$63.2K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-27.