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Trader profile

eightpenguins

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$300.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…23 open · 49% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded660Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.6% / $95% interval −55.8% to +10.6%96 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−3.9%n=20 settled
Politics
−32.5%n=64 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$91.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$225.7K
Concentration
48%
Largest share of value
Positions
191
Showing the largest 8 of 191
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$43.8KPnL+$6KAvg74.7¢Current86.5¢50,622.41Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$15KPnL+$5.6KAvg36.6¢Current58.5¢25,563.88Shares
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
NoValue$6.5KPnL+$1.3KAvg73.9¢Current92.5¢7,048.97Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$5.9KPnL+$2.7KAvg31.8¢Current58.1¢10,178.17Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$4.4KPnL−$1.2KAvg40.1¢Current31.5¢14,060.13Shares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$1.3KAvg63.1¢Current95.5¢3,937.09Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$2.6KPnL−$8.7KAvg32.3¢Current7.5¢35,024.48Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$2.3KPnL−$714Avg53.9¢Current41.2¢5,606.8Shares
Showing 8 of 191 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet eightpenguins: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −22.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −55.8%, n=96 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−3.9% over 20 fills); +$300.5K lifetime P&L, $7.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.