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Trader profile

natalia1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$63Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.1%446 settled · past 180 days2 open · 44% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded651Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.3% / $95% interval −27.6% to +17.1%74 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.2%n=72 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.1% · Decided 446 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$4.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$28.4K
Concentration
59%
Largest share of value
Positions
46
Showing the largest 8 of 46
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Natus Vincere · NoValue$2.5KPnL−$793Avg81.1¢Current61.5¢4,054.97Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$1.7KPnL+$1KAvg40.7¢Current99.5¢1,742.98Shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg43¢Current0¢3.51Shares
Parma: Priscilla Hon vs Susan Bandecchi
Priscilla Hon · YesValue$0PnL−$459Avg91¢Current0¢503.88Shares
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
Alliance · NoValue$0PnL−$715Avg37¢Current0¢1,933Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Gen.G · YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg35¢Current0¢4,998.93Shares
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
BetBoom Team · NoValue$0PnL−$359Avg59¢Current0¢609Shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Team Liquid · NoValue$0PnL−$542Avg42¢Current0¢1,290Shares
Showing 8 of 46 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet natalia1: 60.1% win rate over 446 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.6%, n=74 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.2% over 72 fills); +$63 lifetime P&L, $3.3M traded, updated 2026-09-27.