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Trader profile

cako

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.4%353 settled · past 180 days12 open · 99% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$3.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded724Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.0% / $95% interval −36.0% to +11.9%21 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.0%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.4% · Decided 353 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$625
Snapshot cash PnL
−$168.4K
Concentration
54.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
155
Showing the largest 8 of 155
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$340PnL−$180Avg26¢Current17¢1,999.99Shares
YesValue$73PnL−$47Avg60¢Current36.5¢198.68Shares
YesValue$55PnL−$445Avg50¢Current5.5¢1,000Shares
NoValue$25PnL+$0.36Avg97¢Current98.5¢25Shares
NoValue$25PnL+$0.35Avg96.9¢Current98.3¢25Shares
NoValue$21PnL−$0.14Avg98.9¢Current98.3¢21Shares
NoValue$21PnL−$0.19Avg98.5¢Current97.6¢21Shares
NoValue$20PnL+$0.41Avg94.7¢Current96.7¢21Shares
Showing 8 of 155 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cako: 56.4% win rate over 353 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −36.0%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.0% over 17 fills); −$5.5K lifetime P&L, $3.1M traded, updated 2026-09-26.