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Trader profile

phdcapital

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$57.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate89.7%78 settled · past 90 days66 open · 24% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded374Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.1% / $95% interval −7.0% to +9.2%19 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+1.1%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 89.7% · Decided 78 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$182.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.4K
Concentration
10.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
84
Showing the largest 8 of 84
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$19.3KPnL+$5.9KAvg66.8¢Current96.6¢19,999.96Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$12.6KPnL+$1.5KAvg84¢Current95.6¢13,168.04Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$10.7KPnL+$1.7KAvg77.8¢Current92.7¢11,516.8Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$9.6KPnL+$2.3KAvg72.7¢Current95.1¢10,139.04Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$8.9KPnL+$2.1KAvg68¢Current89.5¢9,999.97Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.2KPnL+$784Avg85.2¢Current95.7¢7,499.43Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.2KPnL−$138Avg84.3¢Current82.5¢7,500Shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$5.4KPnL+$695Avg84.6¢Current97¢5,594.49Shares
Showing 8 of 84 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet phdcapital: 89.7% win rate over 78 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −7.0%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+1.1% over 19 fills); +$57.7K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-26.