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Trader profile

xiaopxiong

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.2%5,784 settled · past 180 days23 open · 71% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$612.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,636Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.3% / $95% interval −208.7% to +184.0%32 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−3.1%n=12 settled
Sports
−15.4%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.2% · Decided 5,784 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$6.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.7K
Concentration
45.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
771
Showing the largest 8 of 771
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$2.9KPnL−$100Avg15¢Current14.5¢20,000Shares
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$7Avg11.1¢Current11.1¢14,150.08Shares
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$977PnL+$195Avg10¢Current12.5¢7,816.65Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$149PnL−$24Avg86.5¢Current74.5¢200Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$124PnL−$7Avg88¢Current83.5¢148.5Shares
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
YesValue$122PnL−$379Avg49.6¢Current12¢1,010Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$99PnL+$4Avg95¢Current99.2¢100Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$98PnL+$3Avg95¢Current97.9¢100Shares
Showing 8 of 771 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet xiaopxiong: 62.2% win rate over 5,784 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −208.7%, n=32 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−3.1% over 12 fills); +$9.1K lifetime P&L, $612.4K traded, updated 2026-09-26.