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Trader profile

mateodlb

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$35.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46%50 settled · past 90 days6 open · 53% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$436.7K147 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded57Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.1% / $95% interval −282.1% to +245.9%46 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.7%n=45 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46% · Decided 50 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$3.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18.1K
Concentration
39.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
24
Showing the largest 8 of 24
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$254Avg17.9¢Current22.5¢5,572.76Shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$572PnL−$128Avg45.9¢Current37.5¢1,526.32Shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$450PnL−$50Avg15¢Current13.5¢3,333.33Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$422PnL−$78Avg16¢Current13.5¢3,125Shares
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$248PnL−$2Avg1.3¢Current1.3¢19,853.84Shares
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$225PnL−$25Avg3.1¢Current2.8¢8,178.61Shares
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya
Elina Svitolina · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg50¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg59¢Current0¢1,694.92Shares
Showing 8 of 24 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 39.4¢
unavailable
$1K
BUYYES
Unknown · 26.5¢
unavailable
$1K

About this wallet

Wallet mateodlb: 46% win rate over 50 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −18.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −282.1%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.7% over 45 fills); +$35.9K lifetime P&L, $436.7K traded, updated 2026-09-26.