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Trader profile

merkmerk12333331

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet7 open · 80% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$278.6K732 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded140Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.1% / $95% interval −427.5% to +421.3%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.1%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$2.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.2K
Concentration
61%
Largest share of value
Positions
57
Showing the largest 8 of 57
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · YesValue$1.4KPnL+$349Avg75¢Current100¢1,400Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
EDward Gaming Youth Team · YesValue$555PnL−$86Avg21.4¢Current18.5¢2,999.98Shares
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs
Saint SinnersValue$291PnL−$47Avg54¢Current46.5¢625Shares
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
ex-RUSTECValue$43PnL−$2Avg63.7¢Current60.5¢70.4Shares
Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?
YesValue$4PnL−$6Avg29¢Current12¢34.48Shares
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
Bilibili Gaming Junior · NoValue$2PnL−$681Avg22.2¢Current0.1¢3,072.79Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
EDward Gaming Youth Team · NoValue$0.75PnL−$569Avg38¢Current0.1¢1,499.99Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$904Avg41.9¢Current0¢2,156.73Shares
Showing 8 of 57 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet merkmerk12333331: edge −3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −427.5%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.1% over 17 fills); +$9.8K lifetime P&L, $278.6K traded, updated 2026-09-22.