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Trader profile

TheReturnOfDarthMaul

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.9%72 settled · past 90 days64 open · 57% underwater · 32 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$26.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+49.0% / $95% interval +35.0% to +63.1%873 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+50.5%n=860 settled
Sports
−24.2%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.9% · Decided 72 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete32 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.8M
Snapshot cash PnL
−$57K
Concentration
31.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
70
Showing the largest 8 of 70
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$571.3KPnL+$100.5KAvg79.3¢Current96.3¢593,512.12Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$244.3KPnL−$101.8KAvg60.2¢Current42.5¢574,826.14Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
NoValue$166.6KPnL+$6.8KAvg90.4¢Current94.3¢176,754.68Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$111.9KPnL+$17.3KAvg57.1¢Current67.5¢165,809.83Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
NoValue$111.7KPnL−$10.2KAvg82.4¢Current75.5¢147,947.52Shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
NoValue$62.3KPnL−$59.1KAvg87¢Current44.7¢139,613.33Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
YesValue$57.9KPnL+$10.5KAvg66.6¢Current81.5¢71,031.87Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$50.5KPnL+$2.8KAvg93.9¢Current99.5¢50,747.09Shares
Showing 8 of 70 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul: 81.9% win rate over 72 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +49.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +35.0%, n=873 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+50.5% over 860 fills); +$1.5M lifetime P&L, $26.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.