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Trader profile

thesingularityisnear

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.4MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 29 days ago
Lifetime volume$27.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded18Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+124.3% / $95% interval −183.6% to +432.3%120 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+124.3%n=120 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$469.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$8.3KAvg0.4¢Current0¢2,000,815.65Shares
France · YesValue$0PnL−$50.5KAvg34.9¢Current0¢144,710.33Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$35.2KAvg1.4¢Current0¢2,477,473.64Shares
Croatia · NoValue$0PnL−$21.6KAvg29.6¢Current0¢73,028.62Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$25KAvg1.2¢Current0¢2,019,829.86Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$42.2KAvg2¢Current0¢2,158,195.31Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$16.9KAvg0.8¢Current0¢2,014,557.19Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$83.7KAvg1.7¢Current0¢4,948,015.85Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet thesingularityisnear: edge +124.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −183.6%, n=120 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+124.3% over 120 fills); +$1.4M lifetime P&L, $27.2M traded, updated 2026-09-27.