PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

toast......

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$113Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Trade history could not be loaded0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$533.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,314Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−58.3% / $95% interval −518.0% to +401.4%21 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−58.3%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$25
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.8K
Concentration
62.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
872
Showing the largest 8 of 872
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Up · YesValue$15PnL+$7Avg20.5¢Current38.6¢40.01Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Down · NoValue$7PnL−$6Avg58¢Current31.5¢22.43Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Up · YesValue$2PnL+$1Avg26¢Current49¢4.5Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Up · YesValue$0.02PnL−$5Avg13¢Current0.1¢40Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Down · NoValue$0.02PnL−$17Avg40.5¢Current0.1¢42.16Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Down · NoValue$0.02PnL−$30Avg74¢Current0.1¢40Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0.01PnL−$4Avg26¢Current0.1¢16.86Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Down · NoValue$0.01PnL−$2Avg22¢Current0.1¢10.23Shares
Showing 8 of 872 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet toast......: edge −58.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −518.0%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−58.3% over 21 fills); +$113 lifetime P&L, $533.5K traded, updated 2026-09-25.