PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

MerhabaKardesim

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$35.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31.7%281 settled · past 90 days47 open · 97% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$10.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded827Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−43.4% / $95% interval −458.1% to +371.2%24 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−43.8%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31.7% · Decided 281 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$5.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.8K
Concentration
29.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
47
Showing the largest 8 of 47
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$200Avg37.5¢Current33.5¢5,000Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$270Avg14.2¢Current11.5¢10,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
YesValue$909PnL−$611Avg14.2¢Current8.5¢10,690.24Shares
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
YesValue$586PnL+$113Avg5.6¢Current6.9¢8,494.92Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$562PnL−$924Avg19.8¢Current7.5¢7,499.76Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
YesValue$375PnL−$24Avg13.3¢Current12.5¢2,999.98Shares
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YesValue$150PnL−$39Avg10.1¢Current8¢1,877.62Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$106PnL−$58Avg25.5¢Current16.5¢640.19Shares
Showing 8 of 47 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MerhabaKardesim: 31.7% win rate over 281 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −43.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −458.1%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−43.8% over 15 fills); +$35.7K lifetime P&L, $10.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.