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Trader profile

matanovik

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$519.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34.5%727 settled · past 90 days7 open · 98% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$53.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded465Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.5% / $95% interval −55.2% to +6.3%1,601 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−22.4%n=13 settled
Sports
−24.3%n=1,588 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 34.5% · Decided 727 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$3.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$140.1K
Concentration
38.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$16Avg44¢Current43.5¢3,289.98Shares
Los Angeles Angels · YesValue$970PnL$0Avg34¢Current34¢2,852Shares
TYLOO · YesValue$463PnL−$7Avg33¢Current32.5¢1,424Shares
YesValue$415PnL+$30Avg38.5¢Current41.5¢999.76Shares
Seattle Mariners · YesValue$341PnL−$6Avg27¢Current26.5¢1,288Shares
Over · YesValue$109PnL−$1.1KAvg39¢Current3.5¢3,100Shares
Pittsburgh Pirates · YesValue$1PnL−$669Avg26¢Current0.1¢2,579Shares
Tampa Bay Rays · YesValue$0PnL−$32.6KAvg42¢Current77,622Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet matanovik: 34.5% win rate over 727 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −24.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −55.2%, n=1,601 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−24.3% over 1,588 fills); +$519.6K lifetime P&L, $53.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.