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Trader profile

sam52727482916

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$3.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.8%45 settled · past 90 days9 open · <1% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded138Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−37.6% / $95% interval −408.1% to +333.0%39 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−31.2%n=34 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.8% · Decided 45 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$6.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11K
Concentration
32.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
58
Showing the largest 8 of 58
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$1KAvg36.2¢Current69.5¢3,057.95Shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$1.2KAvg16.4¢Current47.5¢3,951.88Shares
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$853Avg37.5¢Current69.5¢2,670.41Shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$255PnL+$58Avg36.8¢Current47.5¢537.06Shares
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$164PnL+$2Avg17.3¢Current17.5¢934.88Shares
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$151PnL+$4Avg5¢Current5.1¢2,963.13Shares
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$140PnL+$34Avg35.9¢Current47.5¢294.69Shares
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
YesValue$18PnL+$4Avg2.8¢Current3.6¢511.33Shares
Showing 8 of 58 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sam52727482916: 57.8% win rate over 45 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −37.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −408.1%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−31.2% over 34 fills); +$3.5K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.