PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x39aa…583c

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$53.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.7%5,696 settled · past 90 days88 open · 43% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$18M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,739Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+14.7% / $95% interval −7.6% to +37.0%17 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.7% · Decided 5,696 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$10.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$161
Concentration
18.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
91
Showing the largest 8 of 91
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$169Avg87.4¢Current96¢1,974.99Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
NoValue$1.7KPnL−$1Avg99¢Current98.9¢1,731.53Shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$167Avg54.1¢Current62.5¢1,976.62Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$798PnL+$165Avg67.9¢Current85.5¢932.81Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$658PnL−$4Avg31.7¢Current31.5¢2,088.32Shares
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$458PnL−$2Avg95¢Current94.5¢484.97Shares
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
NoValue$337PnL−$1Avg97.8¢Current97.5¢345.7Shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$275PnL+$96Avg63¢Current96.6¢284.99Shares
Showing 8 of 91 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x39aaed185b92e99a78249610cc14a589b764583c: 47.7% win rate over 5,696 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +14.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −7.6%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days); +$53.2K lifetime P&L, $18M traded, updated 2026-09-26.