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Trader profile

NeverLoseBet

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 19 settled so far5 open · 56% underwater · 13 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$368.5K375 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded35Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−39.5% / $95% interval −66.8% to −12.3%21 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−39.5%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete13 minutes ago
Current position value
$12.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.6K
Concentration
52.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Alcorn State · NoValue$6.5KPnL+$2.5KAvg61¢Current100¢6,480Shares
Washington · NoValue$4KPnL−$25Avg80¢Current79.5¢5,000Shares
UMass · YesValue$1.9KPnL−$15Avg65¢Current64.5¢2,900Shares
Shopify Rebellion · NoValue$7PnL−$3.1KAvg23.3¢Current0.1¢13,499.3Shares
Over · YesValue$4PnL+$0.10Avg60¢Current61.5¢6.75Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg46¢Current0¢8,505Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NeverLoseBet: edge −39.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −66.8%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−39.5% over 21 fills); −$2.5K lifetime P&L, $368.5K traded, updated 2026-09-27.