PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

bigballsmd

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$3.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 19 days ago
Lifetime volume$93.4K87 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded64Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.1% / $95% interval −35.0% to +30.8%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.1%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg6¢Current0¢1,666.67Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg10¢Current0¢500Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg21.4¢Current0¢5,146.52Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg55¢Current0¢2,727.27Shares
Argentina · NoValue$0PnL−$3.5KAvg30.4¢Current0¢11,481.39Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg69.5¢Current0¢359.71Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg26¢Current0¢769.23Shares
Switzerland · NoValue$0PnL−$110Avg24.5¢Current0¢448.98Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bigballsmd: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −2.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −35.0%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.1% over 12 fills); +$3.1K lifetime P&L, $93.4K traded, updated 2026-09-27.