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Trader profile

patobmw

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$656.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded168Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−75.0% / $95% interval −372.1% to +222.1%45 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−75.0%n=45 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 59 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$52.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: SoloTeam vs gpk Team - Game 2 Winner
gpk Team · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg46.5¢Current0¢215.17Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg69.8¢Current0¢2,880.52Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$65Avg75.3¢Current0¢86.27Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg16¢Current0¢625Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg84¢Current0¢118.98Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg38¢Current0¢1,316.12Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$312Avg53¢Current0¢588.16Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg27¢Current0¢370.37Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet patobmw: edge −75.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −372.1%, n=45 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−75.0% over 45 fills); −$3.6K lifetime P&L, $656.2K traded, updated 2026-09-23.