PolyTrace
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Trader profile

cowcat

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$26.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.8%1,478 settled · past 90 days1,020 open · 55% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$23.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,039Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−28.6% / $95% interval −272.6% to +215.5%31 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−30.8%n=29 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.8% · Decided 1,478 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$239.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$563K
Concentration
8.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
3,138
Showing the largest 8 of 3,138
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$19.9KPnL+$6.5KAvg39.1¢Current58.3¢34,204.88Shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$9.4KPnL+$2.4KAvg53.2¢Current71.5¢13,081Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$7.9KPnL+$5.6KAvg11.1¢Current38.4¢20,580.05Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$7KPnL−$946Avg30.1¢Current26.5¢26,230Shares
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
YesValue$4.4KPnL+$105Avg49.3¢Current50.5¢8,698.01Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
YesValue$4KPnL−$5KAvg16.8¢Current7.5¢53,981.67Shares
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?
YesValue$4KPnL+$129Avg71.1¢Current73.5¢5,493.13Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$3.5KPnL−$4KAvg16.1¢Current7.5¢46,817.96Shares
Showing 8 of 3,138 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cowcat: 48.8% win rate over 1,478 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −28.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −272.6%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−30.8% over 29 fills); +$26.6K lifetime P&L, $23.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.