PolyTrace
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Trader profile

thanksforplayin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$209.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.7%4,775 settled · past 90 days53 open · 62% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$15.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded979Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+38.8% / $95% interval −62.3% to +139.8%256 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+54.0%n=61 settled
Finance
+30.5%n=195 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.7% · Decided 4,775 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$883
Concentration
15.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
53
Showing the largest 8 of 53
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of September?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$592Avg21.2¢Current47¢2,289.3Shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of September 21 2026?
NoValue$748PnL+$252Avg62¢Current93.5¢800.44Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?
NoValue$548PnL+$81Avg81.1¢Current95.1¢576.32Shares
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 21 above $340?
NoValue$486PnL+$64Avg43¢Current49.5¢981.37Shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?
NoValue$441PnL−$108Avg79.1¢Current63.5¢694.36Shares
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 21 2026?
NoValue$430PnL+$40Avg78¢Current86¢500Shares
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 21 2026?
NoValue$413PnL+$47Avg77¢Current87¢474.84Shares
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 21 2026?
NoValue$358PnL−$5Avg75¢Current74¢484.02Shares
Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet thanksforplayin: 58.7% win rate over 4,775 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +38.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −62.3%, n=256 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+30.5% over 195 fills); +$209.4K lifetime P&L, $15.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.