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Trader profile

Calvin3328

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$12.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37.3%150 settled · past 180 days13 open · 90% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded175Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+46.1% / $95% interval −27.0% to +119.3%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37.3% · Decided 150 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.4K
Concentration
45.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
59
Showing the largest 8 of 59
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$622PnL+$122Avg47¢Current58.5¢1,063.83Shares
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?
YesValue$261PnL−$880Avg15.3¢Current3.5¢7,465.01Shares
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$220PnL−$280Avg10¢Current4.4¢5,000Shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$117PnL+$26Avg1.4¢Current1.8¢6,500Shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$57PnL+$7Avg2.5¢Current2.9¢2,000Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
YesValue$36PnL−$74Avg13.7¢Current4.5¢798.49Shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$34PnL−$46Avg3.6¢Current1.6¢2,220.86Shares
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
YesValue$14PnL−$11Avg2.3¢Current1.3¢1,099.98Shares
Showing 8 of 59 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Calvin3328: 37.3% win rate over 150 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +46.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.0%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); +$12.2K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-25.