PolyTrace
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Trader profile

easypredict

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$461.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.8%492 settled · past 90 days24 open · 5% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$37.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded92Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.1% / $95% interval −38.6% to +44.7%273 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+2.1%n=268 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.8% · Decided 492 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$28.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$79.1K
Concentration
18.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
145
Showing the largest 8 of 145
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 26?
NoValue$5.3KPnL+$166Avg95.6¢Current98.7¢5,407.57Shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 24?
YesValue$5KPnL+$1.1KAvg77¢Current99.7¢5,000Shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 25?
YesValue$4.6KPnL+$830Avg75¢Current91.6¢5,000Shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on September 25?
NoValue$3.3KPnL−$73Avg92.7¢Current90.7¢3,657.06Shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on September 24?
NoValue$3KPnL+$155Avg93.6¢Current98.8¢2,987.74Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$364Avg86¢Current98.7¢2,877.94Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$88Avg80.6¢Current86.3¢1,556.22Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?
NoValue$940PnL+$208Avg16.4¢Current21¢4,478.51Shares
Showing 8 of 145 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet easypredict: 62.8% win rate over 492 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −38.6%, n=273 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+2.1% over 268 fills); +$461.7K lifetime P&L, $37.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.