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Trader profile

SemyonMarmeladov

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.4MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.6%136 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$148.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded226Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.2% / $95% interval −30.5% to +30.1%213 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.1%n=208 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.6% · Decided 136 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$27.2M
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
921
Showing the largest 8 of 921
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$10.5KAvg42¢Current0¢24,972.62Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$87.6KAvg45.5¢Current0¢192,641.43Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$33.6KAvg44.2¢Current0¢76,058.03Shares
Miami Marlins · NoValue$0PnL−$26.6KAvg53¢Current0¢50,153.45Shares
Georgetown HoyasValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg11¢Current0¢9,794.91Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$48KAvg40¢Current0¢120,000Shares
49ers · NoValue$0PnL−$63.8KAvg41.4¢Current0¢154,145.66Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$895Avg26¢Current0¢3,442.4Shares
Showing 8 of 921 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SemyonMarmeladov: 45.6% win rate over 136 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −30.5%, n=213 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.1% over 208 fills); −$1.4M lifetime P&L, $148.1M traded, updated 2026-09-27.