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Trader profile

Alegrandebig

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price62 open · 17% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,608Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.3% / $95% interval −5.2% to +2.5%77 settled fills · 90d window
Science
+0.8%n=72 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$74.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$933
Concentration
47.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
63
Showing the largest 8 of 63
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
NoValue$35.3KPnL+$418Avg90.4¢Current91.5¢38,612.58Shares
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
NoValue$6.9KPnL+$55Avg96.7¢Current97.5¢7,081.06Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
NoValue$5KPnL+$20Avg96.6¢Current97¢5,203.62Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$3Avg94.4¢Current94.5¢4,020.93Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$15Avg96.3¢Current96.9¢2,508.73Shares
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$24Avg97¢Current98.1¢2,325.17Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$75Avg89.3¢Current93¢2,025.18Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$51Avg94¢Current96.8¢1,814.14Shares
Showing 8 of 63 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Alegrandebig: edge −1.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −5.2%, n=77 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (+0.8% over 72 fills); −$12.7K lifetime P&L, $3.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.