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Trader profile

m3t64 - 815

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$66.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.9%401 settled · past 90 days154 open · 48% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded896Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+258.9% / $95% interval −181.0% to +698.7%21 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+341.9%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.9% · Decided 401 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$47.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$59.4K
Concentration
20.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
547
Showing the largest 8 of 547
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$9.5KPnL+$3.1KAvg52.9¢Current79¢12,058.91Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$4.8KPnL+$1.6KAvg37.9¢Current56.5¢8,522.32Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.5KPnL+$1.8KAvg20.6¢Current42¢8,327.56Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$1.2KAvg43.9¢Current72.5¢4,209.16Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$636Avg39.9¢Current71.5¢2,012.99Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$81Avg71¢Current75.5¢1,790.59Shares
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$27Avg73¢Current71.5¢1,787.9Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$230Avg48.3¢Current59.5¢2,061.89Shares
Showing 8 of 547 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet m3t64 - 815: 42.9% win rate over 401 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +258.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −181.0%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+341.9% over 14 fills); +$66.6K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.