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Trader profile

tiltedinv

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$114.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.6%1,265 settled · past 90 days2 open · 51% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,239Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.1% / $95% interval −189.2% to +166.9%205 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.9%n=191 settled
Unmapped
−35.4%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.6% · Decided 1,265 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$5.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$108K
Concentration
57.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
64
Showing the largest 8 of 64
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Under · NoValue$3.2KPnL+$791Avg74.7¢Current99.5¢3,196.24Shares
Under · NoValue$2.3KPnL−$819Avg76.9¢Current57¢4,114.31Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$180Avg45¢Current400Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg74.4¢Current4,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$210Avg69.9¢Current300Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg32.9¢Current11,873.68Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$514Avg17.1¢Current3,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$207Avg67.7¢Current305.99Shares
Showing 8 of 64 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tiltedinv: 69.6% win rate over 1,265 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −189.2%, n=205 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.9% over 191 fills); −$114.3K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.