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Trader profile

morieAF1

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet3 open · 1% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$531.4K911 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded481Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.1% / $95% interval −356.3% to +320.0%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.1%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$55.1K
Concentration
43.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
340
Showing the largest 8 of 340
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$538PnL+$38Avg46¢Current49.5¢1,086.96Shares
YesValue$501PnL+$101Avg46¢Current57.7¢869.57Shares
YesValue$198PnL−$2Avg51¢Current50.5¢392.16Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$14Avg24¢Current0¢56.82Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg40¢Current0¢500Shares
FC St. Gallen · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg17¢Current0¢588.24Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$22Avg3.6¢Current0¢614.89Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg27¢Current0¢740.74Shares
Showing 8 of 340 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet morieAF1: edge −18.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −356.3%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.1% over 10 fills); −$13.1K lifetime P&L, $531.4K traded, updated 2026-09-26.