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Trader profile

melchior1248

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$74.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.4%7,263 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$27.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,668Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.5% / $95% interval −24.7% to +15.7%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.1%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 19 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.4% · Decided 7,263 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$15
Snapshot cash PnL
−$92.4K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
3,838
Showing the largest 8 of 3,838
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$15PnL−$220Avg0.8¢Current0.1¢29,094.98Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg9.1¢Current200Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg9.1¢Current200Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg35¢Current10Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg25.2¢Current40Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$12Avg27.7¢Current45.09Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg9.1¢Current200Shares
Showing 8 of 3,838 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 69.2¢
unavailableThe settled result could not be read for this trade.
$1.3K

About this wallet

Wallet melchior1248: 49.4% win rate over 7,263 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.7%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.1% over 18 fills); +$74.7K lifetime P&L, $27.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.