PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

erlinghal21

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$11.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate41.9%31 settled · past 90 days0 open · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$123K68 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded32Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.3% / $95% interval −255.9% to +249.4%24 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.3%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 41.9% · Decided 31 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$949
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
1
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Alexander Bublik · NoValue$0PnL−$949Avg40¢Current0¢2,371.58Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 45.7¢
unavailable — The settled result could not be read for this trade.
$1.1K

About this wallet

Wallet erlinghal21: 41.9% win rate over 31 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −255.9%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.3% over 24 fills); −$11.6K lifetime P&L, $123K traded, updated 2026-09-27.