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Trader profile

MisTKy

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$331.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.7%326 settled · past 90 days47 open · 37% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$70.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded252Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.0% / $95% interval −41.5% to +47.6%890 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+5.7%n=577 settled
Finance
+1.0%n=247 settled
Sports
−9.7%n=30 settled
Unmapped
−10.0%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.7% · Decided 326 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$248.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$5K
Concentration
47.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
48
Showing the largest 8 of 48
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$117.7KPnL+$1.3KAvg77.6¢Current78.5¢149,990.58Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NoValue$27.8KPnL+$1.5KAvg88.6¢Current93.5¢29,725.52Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
NoValue$19.9KPnL+$920Avg94.7¢Current99.3¢20,000Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$17KPnL+$5.8KAvg38.7¢Current58.9¢28,901.93Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$15.8KPnL−$6.3KAvg56.6¢Current40.5¢38,974.39Shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
NoValue$10.4KPnL−$5Avg95.7¢Current95.7¢10,830.59Shares
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
NoValue$6.3KPnL+$489Avg83.5¢Current90.5¢6,939.04Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$6.1KPnL+$193Avg94¢Current97.1¢6,320.16Shares
Showing 8 of 48 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MisTKy: 68.7% win rate over 326 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −41.5%, n=890 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+5.7% over 577 fills); +$331.4K lifetime P&L, $70.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.