Trader profile

Linslav

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-22

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$4.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…3 open · 52% underwater · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$749.6K899 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded274Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

+52.5% / $95% interval −242.6% to +347.6%26 settled fills · 90d window

Tech: +54.0%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $462
Snapshot cash PnL: −$17.9K
Concentration: 70%
Positions: 47

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?

NoValue$323PnL+$53Avg8.8¢Current10.5¢3,079.91Shares

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?

YesValue$137PnL+$37Avg5¢Current6.9¢1,999.7Shares

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?

NoValue$1PnL−$99Avg3.4¢Current0.1¢2,906.12Shares

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?

NoValue$0PnL−$340Avg16.3¢Current0¢2,083.4Shares

Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

YesValue$0PnL−$60Avg4¢Current0¢1,486.16Shares

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg88¢Current0¢227.27Shares

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?

YesValue$0PnL−$322Avg28.7¢Current0¢1,119.97Shares

Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$155Avg9¢Current0¢1,720.09Shares

Showing 8 of 47 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 days ago

SELLYES

September 30 · 96.5¢

Next Claude Opus released by...?Open market →$1.7K

4 days ago

SELLYES

September 30 · 91.7¢

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?Open market →$1.7K

14 days ago

SELLNO

Meta · 99.5¢

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Open market →$4.1K

18 days ago

BUYYES

OpenAI · 13.8¢

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Open market →$1K

19 days ago

SELLNO

September 30 · 38.4¢

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Open market →$1K

About this wallet

Wallet Linslav: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +52.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −242.6%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Tech (+54.0% over 15 fills); −$4.6K lifetime P&L, $749.6K traded, updated 2026-09-22.