Trader profile

8014a3d96c

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-25

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$6.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…8 open · 10% underwater · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$176.1K254 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded31Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

+10.0% / $95% interval −263.5% to +283.4%24 settled fills · 90d window

Politics: +15.4%n=10 settled
Finance: +3.7%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 14 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $21.4K
Snapshot cash PnL: +$3.3K
Concentration: 67.1%
Positions: 18

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

YesValue$14.4KPnL+$611Avg95.7¢Current100¢14,372.85Shares

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?

NoValue$4KPnL+$3.6KAvg11¢Current97.7¢4,111.37Shares

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?

NoValue$1KPnL+$308Avg67.7¢Current97¢1,048.18Shares

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

NoValue$1KPnL+$294Avg65¢Current91.5¢1,110Shares

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

YesValue$429PnL−$71Avg42.5¢Current36.5¢1,175.73Shares

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

NoValue$280PnL−$92Avg52.6¢Current39.7¢706.78Shares

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

YesValue$206PnL+$1Avg16.4¢Current16.5¢1,250Shares

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

NoValue$58PnL−$285Avg5¢Current0.9¢6,860.86Shares

Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

6 days ago

BUYYES

United Russia (ER) · 98.2¢

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Open market →$1.8K

6 days ago

BUYYES

United Russia (ER) · 94.4¢

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Open market →$1.4K

6 days ago

BUYYES

United Russia (ER) · 94.4¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Open market →$1.4K

6 days ago

BUYYES

United Russia (ER) · 95.6¢

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Open market →$6.7K

6 days ago

SELLYES

United Russia (ER) · 95.5¢

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Open market →$5.3K

About this wallet

Wallet 8014a3d96c: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +10.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −263.5%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+15.4% over 10 fills); +$6.3K lifetime P&L, $176.1K traded, updated 2026-09-25.