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Trader profile

Olcan

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$43.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.7%2,285 settled · past 180 days107 open · 22% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded960Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.7% · Decided 2,285 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$42.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.6K
Concentration
7.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
174
Showing the largest 8 of 174
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$409Avg77.8¢Current89.5¢3,500Shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3KPnL+$683Avg67.9¢Current88¢3,400.02Shares
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
NoValue$1.7KPnL−$61Avg58¢Current56¢3,078.5Shares
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$27Avg45.1¢Current46¢2,987.88Shares
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$50Avg92.9¢Current96.7¢1,313.1Shares
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$143Avg86.1¢Current97.6¢1,251.06Shares
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$99Avg74.3¢Current82¢1,296.62Shares
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$54Avg63.6¢Current60.5¢1,753.78Shares
Showing 8 of 174 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Olcan: 71.7% win rate over 2,285 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$43.9K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-25.