PolyTrace
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Trader profile

gum123

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.6%503 settled · past 180 days25 open · 6% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded676Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+46.2% / $95% interval −215.4% to +307.9%143 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+64.5%n=107 settled
Sports
−5.4%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.6% · Decided 503 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$15.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$631
Concentration
53.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$8.1KPnL+$137Avg85¢Current86.5¢9,316.06Shares
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$28Avg82¢Current83.5¢1,851.72Shares
NoValue$810PnL+$96Avg59.5¢Current67.5¢1,200.31Shares
YesValue$693PnL−$10Avg95.8¢Current94.5¢733.55Shares
NoValue$559PnL+$0.90Avg93.1¢Current93.3¢599.64Shares
YesValue$488PnL+$14Avg51.9¢Current53.5¢912.04Shares
YesValue$443PnL−$2Avg91¢Current90.5¢490Shares
NoValue$443PnL+$4Avg93¢Current93.8¢472.14Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gum123: 62.6% win rate over 503 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +46.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −215.4%, n=143 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+64.5% over 107 fills); +$18.9K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.