PolyTrace
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Trader profile

StudyPrediction

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$34.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.4%4,302 settled · past 90 days65 open · 49% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$31.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,061Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.9% / $95% interval −57.4% to +51.6%255 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+23.1%n=37 settled
Sports
−8.6%n=216 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.4% · Decided 4,302 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$105.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.8K
Concentration
28.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
74
Showing the largest 8 of 74
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$29.9KPnL+$14.9KAvg50¢Current99.6¢30,000Shares
NoValue$9.9KPnL+$4.9KAvg50¢Current99.4¢10,000Shares
NoValue$9.6KPnL+$4.6KAvg50¢Current96.2¢10,000Shares
NoValue$9.6KPnL+$4.6KAvg50¢Current95.7¢10,000Shares
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$2.8KAvg50¢Current77.5¢10,000Shares
NoValue$4.5KPnL−$16Avg98.5¢Current98.2¢4,595.44Shares
NoValue$4.4KPnL+$14Avg97¢Current97.3¢4,514.7Shares
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$364Avg88.2¢Current97.4¢3,980Shares
Showing 8 of 74 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet StudyPrediction: 73.4% win rate over 4,302 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −57.4%, n=255 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.6% over 216 fills); +$34.9K lifetime P&L, $31.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.