PolyTrace
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Trader profile

apmt

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$82KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66.7%48 settled · past 90 days25 open · 4% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded124Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+17.2% / $95% interval −148.3% to +182.7%57 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+16.9%n=41 settled
Finance
+9.5%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.7% · Decided 48 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$254.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$26.8K
Concentration
12.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$30.9KPnL+$3.9KAvg68.6¢Current78.5¢39,341.01Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$29.6KPnL+$3.1KAvg82.9¢Current92.5¢32,050.98Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$25.2KPnL+$2.1KAvg84.7¢Current92.5¢27,229.97Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$25.1KPnL+$1KAvg80.1¢Current83.5¢30,104.89Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$22.5KPnL+$4.6KAvg79.2¢Current99.6¢22,581.93Shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$17.9KPnL+$3.6KAvg66.7¢Current83.5¢21,487.4Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$12.2KPnL+$1.8KAvg85.1¢Current99.6¢12,245.98Shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
NoValue$11.3KPnL+$1KAvg84.9¢Current93.5¢12,098.04Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet apmt: 66.7% win rate over 48 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +17.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −148.3%, n=57 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+16.9% over 41 fills); +$82K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-26.