PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

SUPERNOVA-

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet11 open · 55% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$237.4K734 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded99Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$7.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.4K
Concentration
46.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$3.4KPnL+$1.4KAvg50.2¢Current85.5¢3,991.75Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$600Avg17.1¢Current13.6¢16,875.14Shares
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
YesValue$529PnL+$529Avg0¢Current73.5¢720.19Shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
NoValue$387PnL+$109Avg55.6¢Current77.5¢499.88Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NoValue$382PnL+$90Avg58.5¢Current76.5¢499.23Shares
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$105PnL−$31Avg31¢Current24¢437.4Shares
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$70PnL−$574Avg59.4¢Current6.5¢1,083.84Shares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
YesValue$67PnL−$428Avg47.8¢Current6.5¢1,036.69Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SUPERNOVA-: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$1.2K lifetime P&L, $237.4K traded, updated 2026-09-24.