PolyTrace
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Trader profile

limetasx

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$43.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded70Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−30.4% / $95% interval −253.4% to +192.6%49 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−13.9%n=16 settled
Sports
−31.4%n=31 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 20 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$435
Snapshot cash PnL
−$201.6K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
YesValue$435PnL−$275Avg23.7¢Current14.5¢2,999.98Shares
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
Karmine Corp · NoValue$0PnL−$18.2KAvg60.6¢Current0¢30,033.68Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
Kiwoom DRXValue$0PnL−$8.1KAvg47.8¢Current0¢17,000Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg55¢Current0¢3,471.29Shares
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Natus VincereValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg44¢Current0¢6,000Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
Karmine Corp · NoValue$0PnL−$6KAvg12.8¢Current0¢46,947.61Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
T1 · NoValue$0PnL−$5.1KAvg48.5¢Current0¢10,544.85Shares
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Team Vitality · YesValue$0PnL−$4.3KAvg20.4¢Current0¢21,224.49Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet limetasx: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −30.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −253.4%, n=49 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−13.9% over 16 fills); −$43.8K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-27.