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Trader profile

BTCGambler247

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$359.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate39.5%43 settled · past 90 days66 open · 32% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded434Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.1% / $95% interval −46.8% to +52.9%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.1%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 20 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 39.5% · Decided 43 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$149.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.2M
Concentration
16.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
272
Showing the largest 8 of 272
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$25.2KPnL+$617Avg20¢Current20.5¢123,000Shares
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$20.7KPnL+$7.2KAvg6.2¢Current9.5¢219,233.4Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$18.1KPnL+$2.4KAvg18.2¢Current21¢86,346.74Shares
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$15.5KPnL−$1.7KAvg5¢Current4.5¢344,999.99Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$6.4KPnL−$1.1KAvg10.2¢Current8.8¢72,772.88Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$5.9KPnL+$1.1KAvg51¢Current62.5¢9,500.11Shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
NoValue$5.8KPnL+$273Avg92.3¢Current96.9¢5,999.99Shares
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$5.2KPnL−$588Avg3.4¢Current3.1¢168,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 272 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet BTCGambler247: 39.5% win rate over 43 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −46.8%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.1% over 14 fills); +$359.4K lifetime P&L, $12.1M traded, updated 2026-09-26.